Madison River Drought Management
Our operations on the Madison River
Our operations on the Madison River
Hebgen is a storage reservoir and provides many benefits, including recreation and fish habitat. It also supports irrigation and electric generation downstream.
Hebgen Dam does not produce energy. We use Hebgen Dam to manage flows downstream for the Madison River fishery and Ennis Lake elevations.
Ennis Lake elevations are controlled by Madison Dam, which produces power. Madison Dam was recently upgraded a 12-megawatt facility, up from 8 megawatts.
2026 Runoff forecast
Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) accumulation this winter has been below normal, resulting in a reduced runoff outlook. The Natural Resources Conservation Service March forecast projects April–July runoff at 340 KAF (50% exceedance) and 310 KAF (70% exceedance).
NorthWestern Energy’s internal forecast is lower at 294 KAF, with a bias-adjusted estimate of 276 KAF to account for forecast uncertainty.
Current conditions are tracking similarly to dry years such as 2022, 2021, 2015, and 2007. While late-season improvements are possible, below-normal spring precipitation would further constrain water management.
Operations
Operations
Outflows below Hebgen are currently 650 cfs and are expected to remain at this level until measurable runoff develops between Hebgen and Ennis. At that point, outflows will likely be reduced to prioritize storage in Hebgen Reservoir.
Snowpack
Snowpack
Current snowpack conditions above Hebgen are shown in this figure.
Weather Forecast
Weather Forecast
Near-term precipitation forecasts for the West Yellowstone area indicate limited accumulation until later in the forecast period, with continued uncertainty. Temperatures are currently trending above normal.
Hebgen Reservoir Conditions*
*Updated March 24, 2026
Managing water temperatures to protect the fishery
Managing water temperatures to protect the fishery
In the summer, we provide pulse flows out of Hebgen Lake into the Madison River below Ennis Lake. Our pulse flow program is designed to maintain lower Madison River temperatures at or below 80 degrees in order to prevent fish mortality caused from elevated water temperatures.
The Madison Thermal Decision Support System (DSS) was developed to protect fisheries and other river resources.
How drought conditions impact our operations:
- Forecasts and modeling are closely followed by NorthWestern Energy to manage releases to the Madison River downstream and to capture and fill Hebgen Reservoir in the spring.
- Limited snowpack and spring precipitation create challenging conditions to fully fill Hebgen reservoir while providing required flows to the Madison River.
- Water releases from Hebgen reservoir feed Ennis Reservoir to support pulsed flow releases out of Madison Dam.
- The pulse flows are calculated using a model that helps determine the volume of water to be released, allowing for the conservation of water while maintaining safe water temperatures in the lower Madison River.
- Low flows directly affect the amount of electricity generated at Madison Dam.
- NorthWestern Energy’s stewardship responsibilities of the river resources include balancing the many interests of multiple stakeholders.
- The cooperation and flexibility of all help to protect and maintain the long-term health of the river system, which is our priority.